Home : Book details

Cognitive Bias in Intelligence Analysis: Testing the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses Method (Intelligence, Surveillance and Secret Warfare) free ebook download

Category:
Sociology

Views: 280
Likes: 66

Catalogue

Author(s):	Martha Whitesmith

Date:	2021	Format:	pdf	Language:	English	ISBN/ASIN:	1474466346
Pages:	304	OCR:		Quality:		ISBN13:
Uploader:	eternal	Upload Date:	7/26/2021 3:21:30 PM

To download click on link in the Links Table below

Description: Click to see full description

Tests whether the analysis of competing hypotheses reduces cognitive bias, and proposes a more effective approach
Reveals that a key element of current training provided to the UK and US intelligence communities (and likely all 5-EYES and several European agencies) does not have a proven ability to mitigate cognitive biases
Demonstrates that judging the credibility of information from human sources means that intelligence analysis faces greater complexity and cognitive strain than non-intelligence analysis
Explains the underlying causes cognitive biases, based on meta-analyses of existing research
Shows that identifying the ideal conditions for intelligence analysis is a more effective way of reducing the risk of cognitive bias than the use of ACH
Recent high-profile intelligence failures  from 9/11 to the 2003 Iraq war  prove that cognitive bias in intelligence analysis can have catastrophic consequences. This book critiques the reliance of Western intelligence agencies on the use of a method for intelligence analysis developed by the CIA in the 1990s, the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH). The author puts ACH to the test in an experimental setting against two key cognitive biases with unique empirical research facilitated by UKs Professional Heads of Intelligence Analysis unit at the Cabinet Office, and finds that the theoretical basis of the ACH method is significantly flawed. Combining the insight of a practitioner with over 11 years of experience in intelligence with both philosophical theory and experimental research, the author proposes an alternative approach to mitigating cognitive bias that focuses on creating the optimum environment for analysis, challenging current leading theories.

Links Table

	Title	Link	Password	Size (MB)	Thank to	Inform Admin
3019525	Book	https://tezfiles.com/file/af658c2de12d8/...		0.00	eternal

Tags: Analysis Bias Cognitive Competing Hypotheses Intelligence Method Secret Surveillance Testing

Title	Link	Password	Size	Reason

Those who downloaded this book also downloaded the following books:

Comments

New comment:

Cognitive Bias in Intelligence Analysis: Testing the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses Method (Intelligence, Surveillance and Secret Warfare) free ebook download

Category: Sociology

Description: Click to see full description

Category:
Sociology